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SOLUSD short — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 99.58 and stopped out at 101.85 after 5.5 hours, closing at -2.28%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 00:39 |
| Entry | 99.58 |
| Stop-loss | 101.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 97.972 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 96.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 101.85 |
| Realized P&L | -2.28% |
| Time open | 5.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h EMA all bear_aligned, 4h mixed; 1h ADX 20.4 slope +3.6 (firming into trend-tier), ER10 0.24/ER30 0.20, choppiness 48, Hurst 0.38 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a firming low-grade downtrend drifting toward 5d lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — fresh net -1.9% 4h / -2.1% 24h downside, OI accelerating_down (oi_15m_z -2.30, agg_oi -3.1%), taker 0.92 sell-tilted. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI bleeding out on an accelerating_down state while price makes fresh lows and taker ratio stays sub-1 confirms sellers pressing; trend-aligned with the bear EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-traders sit heavily long (pos ratio 2.01) and price is at 5d-low (dist +0.93% from low), rolling z -1.59 — a reclaim bounce off the low would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 99.58; stop above the 4h EMA/reclaim zone at 101.85 (~2.28% risk, ~within 24h range of 3.6%); target the next structural leg toward 96.90 (~2.7% below, R:R ~1.18, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: firming trend but at low with contrarian top-trader longs argues meaningful bounce risk.
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