HYPEUSD long — 20 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 73.83 and stopped out at 72.35 after 1.2 hours, closing at -2.00%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-20 16:56 |
| Entry | 73.83 |
| Stop-loss | 72.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 75.042 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 75.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.36 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 72.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.00% |
| Time open | 1.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 57 (adx_20 50) but slope flat/negative, choppiness 45.8 mid, ER-30 0.64 clean, Hurst 0.59 trending, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a powerful but deeply extended bull trend, rv_24h at 92nd pctile (245%), +19.1% on the day, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d high, rolling z +3.35. 2. LEAN CHECK: trend is unambiguously long — net moves +3.0/+4.2/+19.3% across 4h/12h/24h, OI +37% into the move, top-trader pos ratio 1.83, taker ratio 1.15; long is the trend-aligned side. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: cluster (a) full HTF alignment + cluster (b) OI +37% expanding with taker buy tilt confirm participation into the breakout to new highs — the recurring HYPE momentum-continuation pattern that has repeatedly won. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h RSI 78/87 deeply overbought, ADX slope now flat/fading and OI momentum decelerating, top-trader ratio ticking down — a blow-off exhaustion reversal would invalidate; a break back below ~72.5 kills it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 73.83, stop 72.35 (below reclaim shelf, ~2.0% — inside 0.5-1.5x the ~4.2% avg 24h traversal given extreme vol); take_profit_1 75.85 stretch (~2.7% up, R:R ~1.37, inside clamps) at next extension leg. 6. EXPECTATION: extended overbought tape with decelerating OI caps the edge; p_tp1 42, p_sl 37, p_expire 21.
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