HYPEUSD long — 31 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 84.0178 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 82.15 with a price move of -2.22%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-31 16:53 |
| Entry | 84.0178 |
| Stop-loss | 81.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 85.5971 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 86.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.07 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 82.15 |
| Realized P&L | -2.22% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 mixed/transitional — 5m/4h bull_aligned, 1h/15m mixed; 1h ADX 21.3 slope -0.5 (barely trending, fading), ER-30 0.03/choppiness 37.4/Hurst 0.34 (mean-reverting path netting nowhere), HMM calm 0.95 — a bull structure inside shallow chop, +3.7% net on 4h and +4.8% on 12h but flat on 24h, sitting just -2.1% below its 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — fresh 4h/12h upward momentum + accelerating OI + long-tilted top traders point up more than down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.83, oi_15m_z +4.04, oi_change_recent_half +0.50%) into a +3.7% 4h push, top_trader_pos_ratio 1.52 (long-tilted), taker ratio 1.195 buy-side and recent hourly takers firming — new money leaning long into a 4h bull stack, consistent with this asset's long-biased win history. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is overbought (5m 72, 15m 70) at the top of a 12h run just under the 5d high — a rejection at the -2.1% high with OI unwinding would flip this to a failed breakout. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 84.02; stop 81.55 below the recent consolidation shelf and beyond the ~1h swing (2.94% ≈ 0.5x the 6.3% 7d range, within stop-width); take_profit_1 86.65 (stretch, +3.13%, R:R ≈ 1.07) targeting a reclaim of the 5d high zone, inside the 4% clamp and reachable given avg 24h traversal ~2.4% plus current momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought into resistance tempers upside — p_tp1 41, p_sl 37, p_expire 22.
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