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HYPEUSD short — 26 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 75.4022 and stopped out at 76.99 after 2.8 hours, closing at -2.11%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-26 03:12 |
| Entry | 75.4022 |
| Stop-loss | 76.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 74.2909 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 73.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.37 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 76.99 |
| Realized P&L | -2.11% |
| Time open | 2.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF bear-leaning (5m/1h/4h bear_aligned, 15m mixed), 1h ADX 22.3 slope +3.5 (genuine trend firming), choppiness 45 (mid), ER-10 0.59 (near-term clean) but ER-30 0.07 (nets nowhere over 30 bars), Hurst 0.39 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — a bear trend firming on the 1h but with low longer-horizon path efficiency. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT — trend-aligned bear stack plus accelerating-down OI and sub-1 taker ratio; counter-long is contradicted by every TF. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -1.91, agg_oi_24h -2.26, taker 0.90 with recent-half OI -2.85%; longs are leaving as price slides, trend-aligned with the bear EMA stack; net -0.95% 4h shows live downside momentum. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits only +0.30% above the 5d/20d/90d low and z-20d -1.80 (deeply oversold) — a mean-reversion bounce off that low with top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.81) would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 75.40; stop above recent intraday structure at 76.75 (dist ~1.79%, ~1x the 24h avg traversal 1.77%, beyond the invalidation bounce); TP1 stretch at 73.55 (dist ~2.45% but RR ~1.37x stop) — honest push through the multi-day low into fresh lows, reachable within 24h given 4h atr 1.69% and avg 24h move 1.77%. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold-at-the-low tempers downside continuation; p_tp1 42, p_sl 37, p_expire 21.
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