Home › Signals › September 2026 › PAXGUSD
PAXGUSD short — 13 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on PAXGUSD entered at 4,351.2 and hit its target at 4,331.9 after 8.8 hours, closing at +0.44%.
| Asset | PAXGUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-13 13:11 |
| Entry | 4,351.2 |
| Stop-loss | 4,382 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,331.9 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,319 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 4,331.9 |
| Realized P&L | +0.44% |
| Time open | 8.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned) but 1h ADX only 10.6 (slope +1.8), choppiness 40.9 neutral, ER-30 0.16 (noisy nets nowhere), Hurst 0.37 mean-reverting, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, low-vol gold consolidation biased weakly down. 2. LEAN CHECK: leans short — full bearish EMA stack plus rolling_z_20d -1.23 and net_move_pct_24h -0.08%, but this is a thin lean with contradictions. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is trend structure — every timeframe's EMA stack is bear_aligned, and macro gold XAU spot is roughly flat/soft while OI is accelerating_down (oi_z ~-2.2, longs unwinding), aligning with the down-leg. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio 2.46 heavily long and gold macro (+1.02% 1d on yfinance) plus z_score -1.23 near lower band argues a mean-reversion bounce could invalidate a fresh short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4351.24; stop above the local structure / 5d-high proximity at 4383.5 (~0.74% ≈ 1x the calm 24h RV of 2.28% span but bounded to gold's tight range), take_profit_1 at 4321.0 (~0.70% below, R:R ~0.95→adjusted to keep >=1.0) — set stop 4382.0 (0.71%) and TP 4319.0 (0.74%) for R:R ~1.04, both reachable in gold's ~0.52% typical 24h traversal near the low-vol edge. 6. EXPECTATION: given full bearish stack but mean-revert Hurst and long-loaded top traders, a modest short edge in low vol.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.