SLVONUSD long — 22 Jul 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 54.55 and stopped out at 53.75 after 16.3 hours, closing at -1.47%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-22 14:50 |
| Entry | 54.55 |
| Stop-loss | 53.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 55.27 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 55.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 53.75 |
| Realized P&L | -1.47% |
| Time open | 16.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: bull_trend — 5m/15m/1h EMA stacks all bull-aligned, 1h ADX 30 (genuine trend), 4h ADX 38 confirming, alignment 4/4; only 4h EMA stack mixed with RSI 71 overbought; Hurst 0.49 neutral, funding mildly positive — a strengthening uptrend though ADX slope has just ticked -1. 2. LEAN CHECK: long is the trend-aligned side; net_move_pct_4h +1.28%, 24h +2.0%, silver spot XAG +2.07% confirming, taker ratio 1.17 buyers dominant — evidence favors long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — multi-TF bull alignment plus fresh momentum (net +1.28% 4h), OI 5m/15m z-scores positive (+0.92/+1.08) into the up move, taker history skewed >1 through most of the day, and silver reference confirms; this asset's own 30d WR is 52% and bull_trend WR 43% — best regime on the book. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 71.4 overbought and rolling z +2.26 (stretched vs 20d mean) plus price pinned at 5d/20d/90d high (-0.58%) — a rejection here reverses the thesis quickly. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 54.55; stop 53.75 below the recent breakout shelf and beyond intraday noise (~1.47% risk, ~2.4x 4h ATR); stretch TP 55.85 at a fresh high extension (~2.4% reward), RR ~1.6, reachable given 24h avg traversal 1.68% and p90 daily range 6.6%. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought stretch caps upside conviction; balanced distribution with meaningful expire given low ER (0.13) noisy path.
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