SLVONUSD long — 14 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 59.3178 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 58.83 with a price move of -0.82%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-14 13:58 |
| Entry | 59.3178 |
| Stop-loss | 58.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 59.9191 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 60.32 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.31 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 58.83 |
| Realized P&L | -0.82% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed 2/4 (5m/4h bull_aligned, 15m/1h mixed); 1h ADX 13.9 fading (slope -1.1) and ADX-20 10.9 = chop, but ER_10 0.77 (clean recent 10-bar path up) with net_move +0.78% (4h) / +2.38% (12h), Hurst 0.45 mean-reverting, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-ADX tape with a genuine near-term upside push riding a higher-TF bull structure. 2. LEAN CHECK: tilts long — 4h+5m EMA stacks bull, strong 12h/4h net momentum, silver spot XAG +0.79% and SLV ETF proxy +1.26% 1d, top-trader position ratio 1.47 long-tilted. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is momentum+macro confluence — clean ER_10 0.77 upside path with +2.38% 12h net move, corroborated by rising silver spot and a positive silver-ETF day, aligned with the 4h bull EMA stack; trend-aligned long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is bleeding (oi_change_recent_half -2.6%, oi_5m/15m_z negative, oi_momentum accelerating_down) and price sits just -1.6% under the 5d/20d/90d high with z_score +1.09 — a stalling push into resistance that rolls over would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 59.3178; stop below the near consolidation floor at 58.55 (~1.3% risk, ~0.4x the 3.1% avg daily range, sits under recent structure); take_profit_1 stretch at 60.32 (~1.7% / ~1.28x the stop distance, targeting a push through the -1.6% recent high), R:R ~1.3, both reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal ~1.3% and 12h momentum already +2.38%. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors upside but OI decline and overhead resistance cap it — p_tp1 44, p_sl 34, p_expire 22.
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