SLVONUSD long — 31 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.3037 and hit its target at 60.7335 after 15.9 hours, closing at +0.71%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-31 13:53 |
| Entry | 60.3037 |
| Stop-loss | 59.62 |
| Take-profit 1 | 60.7335 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 61.02 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 60.7335 |
| Realized P&L | +0.71% |
| Time open | 15.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 mixed labeled bear_trend, 1h EMA bear-aligned but 15m bull-aligned, 1h ADX 22.2 fading (slope -1.39), ADX-20 17.4, ER_10 0.18/ER_30 0.07 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 47.9, Hurst 0.36 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol calm, mean-reverting chop with a soft bear structural lean. 2. LEAN CHECK: price sits at rolling z-20d -1.45 (statistically stretched down) and pinned just above 5d/20d/90d low (+0.57%), a mean-reverting tape where these extremes have repeatedly bought back — the recent track record shows longs from this exact stretched-low setup winning more than losing; I lean long on the reversion. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: mean-reversion cluster — Hurst 0.36 + z-20d -1.45 + sitting on multi-timeframe low with 15m EMA already flipping bull-aligned and RSI 34-38 basement, favors a bounce off the low rather than a fresh breakdown. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI momentum accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.92, oi_change_recent_half -7.3%) with taker ratio 0.81 sub-1 means sellers still pressing — a clean break of the 5d low invalidates the reversion. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.30; stop 59.62 below the 5d/90d low (~-1.13%, within the 3.1% avg daily range and ~1x RV); stretch TP 61.02 at prior consolidation reclaim (~+1.19%, R:R ~1.05, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: mean-reversion edge is real but modest against active down-flow on a chop tape; p_tp1 40, p_sl 36, p_expire 24.
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