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SLVONUSD short — 26 Sep 2026 (expired)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 58.21 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 58.14 with a price move of +0.12%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-26 16:08 |
| Entry | 58.21 |
| Stop-loss | 58.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 57.814 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 57.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 58.14 |
| Realized P&L | +0.12% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (2/4) — 5m/15m EMA mixed, 1h/4h bear_aligned (4h RSI 44); 1h ADX 6.99 slope -1.18 (no trend, fading), 4h ADX 19 (marginal), ER_10 0.03 / ER_30 0.25 (extremely noisy path netting nowhere), choppiness 65.2 (range-bound), Hurst 0.48 neutral, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a dead, low-vol chop regime with a faint bear tilt on higher TFs. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly bear-leaning — 1h/4h EMA bear-aligned, rolling_z_20d -1.20 (below mean), OI falling (-2.5% 24h, oi_z ~-0.98, decelerating), taker ratio 0.956 (slight sell tilt), XAG spot -0.54%. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — higher-TF EMA stack is the only structural cluster and it points down, corroborated by unwinding OI and a mild sell-side taker tilt; but note top-trader pos ratio 3.6 (heavily long) is a contradicting cluster arguing for exhaustion of the down-leg. 4. PRE-MORTEM: with ADX 7 and choppiness 65, this is dead chop — a bounce toward the 20d mean (z -1.2) or the 5d-high region would invalidate a short quickly. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 58.21; stop above recent intraday structure at 58.85 (~1.1% — near the asset's ~1.0% 24h traversal, appropriate for low-vol tape); take_profit_1 at 57.55 (~1.13% below), giving R:R ~1.03 toward the 5d-low zone. 6. EXPECTATION: chop-dominated, faint edge, meaningful expire probability given ADX 7.
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