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SLVONUSD short — 13 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 54.5347 and hit its target at 54.1689 after 11.9 hours, closing at +0.67%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-13 02:05 |
| Entry | 54.5347 |
| Stop-loss | 55.12 |
| Take-profit 1 | 54.1689 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 53.925 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.04 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 54.1689 |
| Realized P&L | +0.67% |
| Time open | 11.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment_score 4/4 but labeled mixed (5m/15m/4h bear-aligned, 1h mixed), 1h ADX 42.8 slope +5.8 (trend firming hard), choppiness 42.6 (transitional), ER_10 0.09 / ER_30 0.26 (noisy, nets little), Hurst 0.56 (mild persistence), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol tape with a firming bear tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — net moves negative across all horizons (-0.15% 4h, -0.31% 12h, -1.32% 24h), three of four TFs bear-stacked, OI falling (-4.5% 24h, oi_15m_z -1.06) into the decline, silver spot ref down -1.63%. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — the dominant 4h/15m/5m bear EMA stack plus firming ADX and declining OI (price down with OI down = longs bleeding out, not fresh shorts getting crowded) point lower, and this asset's track record favors short-side mean-continuation here. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker_buy_sell 1.0803 (mild buy pressure) and top-trader pos ratio 3.40 (longs skewed) plus distance to 5d-low only +2.4% — a reclaim of the 1h EMA with a bounce off the oversold 1h RSI 40 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 54.5347; stop above the 1h structure / recent swing at 55.12 (~1.07% = ~0.52x the 2.2% 7d daily range, within stop-width); stretch target down at 53.93 (~1.11% = ~1.04x stop distance, R:R ~1.04, inside clamps, reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.10%). 6. EXPECTATION: low-vol token, modest edge, meaningful chance of expiry given choppy path.
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