SOLUSD short — 28 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 72.7462 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 73.656 with a price move of -1.25%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-28 13:48 |
| Entry | 72.7462 |
| Stop-loss | 74.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 71.2785 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 70.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 73.656 |
| Realized P&L | -1.25% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF (4/4), 1h ADX 38 rising (+2.08 slope), choppiness 44 and ER30 0.42 — a genuine, strengthening bear trend, not chop; fear_greed 29 and -5.6% 24h confirm downside pressure. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence clearly favors the short side — trend-aligned bear stack with strong ADX; the only counter is deep oversold RSI (1h 29, 5m 27) and z_score -2.1. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full bear EMA alignment + rising ADX + funding_z -3.5 (bearish sentiment persisting, funding pinned negative) + top_trader pos ratio slipping (4h chg -0.0135) as smart money trims longs; the same regime signal won +2.24% overnight. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply oversold across all TFs and price sits exactly at 5d/20d/90d low (dist 0.000) — a sharp oversold-bounce reclaim above ~74.2 would invalidate the continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent minor reclaim shelf at 74.85 (beyond oversold-bounce risk); TP at 70.30 structural extension of the downtrend (~1.4x stop distance, within 24h given rv_24h 61% and avg 24h move 1.75%). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold at range low tempers TP odds but trend is strong.
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