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SOLUSD short — 14 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 105.927 and hit its target at 104.3208 after 40 minutes, closing at +1.52%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-14 13:35 |
| Entry | 105.927 |
| Stop-loss | 108.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 104.3208 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 103.25 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.10 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 104.3208 |
| Realized P&L | +1.52% |
| Time open | 40 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, but 1h ADX 14.4 slope +0.39 (sub-trend), ER30 0.22 / choppiness 48.5 (mid-range), Hurst 0.43 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — a bear-tilted CHOP, direction down but weak conviction; 4h ADX 36 is the real trend anchor. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT leans — full bear EMA stack, net -1.44%/12h fresh down momentum, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -0.59, agg_oi -1.47%, oi_change -2.3%), taker 0.885 sell-heavy; the only counter is top-trader pos ratio 2.15 (crowded long) and price z=-1.36 stretched below 20d mean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 4-TF bear EMA stack + OI unwinding into weakness + sell-heavy takers; this asset's own 68% WR favors continuation shorts, and same-regime recent shorts are mixed-but-net-winning. 4. PRE-MORTEM: z=-1.36 stretched below mean + crowded top-trader longs + 4h RSI 37.5 could spark a mean-reversion bounce back toward the 5d-high reclaim. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 105.93; stop above recent swing/invalidation at 108.35 (~2.29%, within 1h atr 1.03 × plausible 24h range); stretch TP down at 103.25 (~2.53%, R:R ~1.1, inside clamps) at the next structural shelf toward the 5d-low. 6. EXPECTATION: bear-chop with stretched-below context — p_tp1 46, p_sl 38, p_expire 16.
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