XAUTUSD long — 13 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on XAUTUSD entered at 4,372.3 and stopped out at 4,338.9 after 6.6 hours, closing at -0.76%.
| Asset | XAUTUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| Entry | 4,372.3 |
| Stop-loss | 4,338.9 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,397.9 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,415 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 4,338.9 |
| Realized P&L | -0.76% |
| Time open | 6.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Higher-TF gold trend intact but fading — 4h EMA bull_aligned/ADX 43 strong, 1h EMA bull_aligned/ADX 22 slope -0.68, but 15m bear_aligned and MTF only 2/4 mixed; Hurst 0.55, HMM calm; macro gold +0.42% 1d though the token is -0.91% 24h and net_move_24h -1.07% (a pullback within the macro uptrend). 2. LEAN CHECK: mild long — macro gold still positive (+4.37% 5d), DXY flat/soft, US10y easing, top-trader pos ratio 1.75 leaning long, but funding z -2.19 and OI bleeding (accelerating_down) show longs unwinding — thin edge, not two-sided enough to abstain. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long on the higher-TF bull stack (4h+1h EMA bull, strong 4h ADX) with macro gold green and DXY soft; the 24h dip sits just -1.07% below and near 5d low buffer, a pullback-buy in a persistent uptrend that has produced a 65.8% win rate on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: continued OI/funding unwind (funding z -2.19, agg OI -10.7%, oi accelerating_down) driving another leg down through the 5d low invalidates the pullback-buy. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4372.34; stop 4338.9 beyond the recent pullback low / -0.77% (within gold's ~1.5% daily range); take_profit_1 4415.0 (+0.98%, ~1.27x stop distance, R:R ~1.27), a reachable structural reclaim toward the recent range mid within 24h given avg_move_24h ~1.05%. 6. EXPECTATION: modest edge, meaningful chop risk.
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